Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000563 0.000644 0.000730 0.000828 0.000936 0.001052 0.001184
2025-07-20 0.000443 0.000556 0.000685 0.000841 0.001025 0.001232 0.001484
2025-07-27 0.000369 0.000494 0.000644 0.000834 0.001066 0.001338 0.001678
2025-08-03 0.000310 0.000441 0.000604 0.000819 0.001092 0.001421 0.001844
2025-08-10 0.000274 0.000411 0.000588 0.000829 0.001142 0.001531 0.002043
2025-08-17 0.000242 0.000381 0.000568 0.000830 0.001180 0.001624 0.002220
2025-08-24 0.000206 0.000341 0.000530 0.000803 0.001177 0.001663 0.002328
2025-08-31 0.000176 0.000308 0.000497 0.000778 0.001175 0.001700 0.002432
2025-09-07 0.000157 0.000287 0.000480 0.000776 0.001201 0.001773 0.002584
2025-09-14 0.000142 0.000270 0.000467 0.000776 0.001229 0.001850 0.002742
2025-09-21 0.000126 0.000251 0.000449 0.000767 0.001244 0.001907 0.002873
2025-09-28 0.000111 0.000232 0.000429 0.000753 0.001249 0.001950 0.002985
2025-10-05 0.000104 0.000226 0.000431 0.000774 0.001307 0.002071 0.003210
2025-10-12 0.000097 0.000219 0.000428 0.000787 0.001353 0.002175 0.003415
2025-10-19 0.000086 0.000205 0.000414 0.000780 0.001369 0.002235 0.003556
2025-10-26 0.000076 0.000189 0.000396 0.000767 0.001372 0.002276 0.003671
2025-11-02 0.000070 0.000182 0.000392 0.000775 0.001411 0.002370 0.003865
2025-11-09 0.000064 0.000174 0.000384 0.000776 0.001437 0.002446 0.004032
2025-11-16 0.000055 0.000158 0.000362 0.000751 0.001418 0.002453 0.004099
2025-11-23 0.000048 0.000144 0.000341 0.000728 0.001403 0.002463 0.004168
2025-11-30 0.000043 0.000136 0.000333 0.000725 0.001421 0.002525 0.004318
2025-12-07 0.000039 0.000130 0.000326 0.000726 0.001443 0.002595 0.004479
2025-12-14 0.000035 0.000121 0.000315 0.000717 0.001451 0.002640 0.004605